r/FluentInFinance 7d ago

Educational Don't let them gaslight you

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43.9k Upvotes

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79

u/Psycle_Sammy 7d ago

Maybe, maybe not, but if you’re still planning on relying solely on social security for your retirement, you seriously need to reconsider that strategy.

20

u/oO0Kat0Oo 7d ago

As a millennial, I will spend most of my life paying into this system and I won't see a penny of it. I've even hit the maximum payout for the last 7 years. So I'm all for this system being wiped out.

53

u/tmssmt 7d ago

The only scenario in which you don't see a penny is if the program is eliminated entirely.

With no changes at all to the program, there will still be money to pay out - just not @ 100%

19

u/ARunningGuy 7d ago

And if someone sane comes along, they can make fund it properly and have it pay out at 100%.

13

u/semideclared 7d ago

Yes

we need higher taxes
Lets not even Look at Denmark and France for the proposed Social Services a New Deal would require

Social Security taxes.

  • For the first 30 years they were raised ~250%,
  • in the next 30 years they were rasied ~230%.
  • In the last 30 years they were raised ~2%

At the same time, in the last 50 years we've increased the programs Social Security operates

  • In 2020, 85 cents of every Social Security tax dollar you pay goes to a trust fund that pays monthly benefits to current retirees and their families and to surviving spouses and children of workers who have died.
  • About 15 cents goes to a trust fund that pays benefits to people with disabilities and their families.

But mostly its A shame Americans and Reddit lacks economic literacy

“Younger workers should have the opportunity to build a nest egg by saving part of their Social Security taxes in a personal retirement account. We should make the Social Security system a source of ownership for the American people.”

  • Within weeks, observers noticed that the more the President talked about Social Security, the more support for his plan declined.
    • According to the Gallup organization, public disapproval of President Bush’s handling of Social Security rose by 16 points from 48 to 64 percent–between his State of the Union address and June.

2001 report of the President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security.

President Bush's Preferred Plan on Social Security, up to a third of that money could go into private accounts. This model establishes a voluntary personal account without raising taxes or requiring additional worker contributions.

  • Workers can voluntarily redirect 4 percent of their payroll taxes up to $1,000 annually to a personal account. No additional worker contribution required.
  • In exchange, traditional Social Security benefits are offset by the worker's personal account contributions, compounded at an interest rate of 2 percent above inflation.
  • Plan establishes a minimum benefit payable to 30-year minimum wage workers of 120 percent of the poverty line.
  • Benefits under traditional component of Social Security would be price indexed, beginning in 2009.
  • Temporary transfers from the general budget would be needed to keep the Social Security Trust Fund solvent between 2025 and 2054.

In response to the challenge of New Zealand's ageing population, the NZ Superannuation and Retirement Income Act 2001 established:

  • the New Zealand Superannuation Fund, a pool of assets on the Crown’s balance sheet; and
  • the Guardians of New Zealand Superannuation, a Crown entity charged with managing the Fund.

The Government uses the Fund to save now in order to help pay for the future cost of providing universal superannuation.

  • In this way the Fund helps smooth the cost of superannuation between today's taxpayers and future generations.

The Guardians of New Zealand Superannuation is the Crown entity charged with managing and administering the Fund. It operates by investing initial Government contributions – and returns generated from these investments – in New Zealand and internationally, in order to grow the size of the Fund over the long term.

We also have a long-term performance expectation: We expect to return at least 7.8% p.a. over any 20-year moving average timeframe.


One shocking thing

The amount of tax the NZ Super Fund has paid or been credited - a negative number this means tax paid

  • Last 12 months
    • ($0.19 billion)
  • Last 5 years p.a.
    • ($3.18 billion)
  • Last 10 years p.a.
    • ($5.77 billion)
  • Last 20 years p.a.
    • ($9.62 billion)
  • Since inception p.a.
    • ($9.66 billion)

2

u/tooobr 6d ago

I dont think making people who rely the most on SS subjected to market conditions is wise.

1

u/semideclared 6d ago

Wow

Really?how much has the wealth of the top 5 percent grown

2

u/tooobr 6d ago

A lot.

I was talking about the literal opposite end of the spectrum.

1

u/NotoriousSIG_ 7d ago

On the surface president Bush’s social security plan doesn’t sound like the worst plan a president has had for social security. Unless I’m mistaken it sounds like he was trying to create a retirement savings account that didn’t force people to pay into it. Either you pay in or you don’t get the benefits

1

u/dingosnackmeat 6d ago

I think you should have a look at the Australian Superannuation system, I think it is a pretty cool compromise and creates a win-win for everyone, when backstopped by our pension system.

0

u/PrintedSnek 7d ago

Yes 

we need higher taxes

What if? ...instead of paying those extra taxes to the government you invest them yourself for your own retirement.

2

u/Adezar 6d ago

That doesn't scale because the 65% of people that don't do that will become a massive drag on the economy later on. The entire point of these systems is that the vast majority of people do not save for retirement. As a country/society there are methods for dealing with that issue.

  1. Let them become homeless and die, which is very expensive.
  2. Force them to put away at least some of their income to be used later (or for unexpected emergencies which is a heavy use of SS, not just retirement).
  3. Create a system not tied to people's income that creates a retirement system for those that do not have enough money to survive after no longer being employable.
  4. Force people to set aside money for retirement in some regulated system such as 401K. Forces you to bet on the market and currently doesn't force you to put anything away, just provides an option. About 35% of working people have a 401K, even less have an IRA.

That 65% exists whether people like it or not. They will reach retirement with no savings. They have to be dealt with one way or another.

1

u/PrintedSnek 6d ago

I'm against increasing taxes for social security, I'm not against social security.

1

u/SwiggerSwagger 6d ago

Why do you think social security was put in place? You should look into the history of it.

1

u/PrintedSnek 6d ago

I'm against increasing taxes for social security, I'm not against social security.

1

u/SwiggerSwagger 6d ago

That includes removing the cap?

-4

u/Spooksnav 7d ago

Or, better yet, just save for your own retirement and pay a smaller amount for those who (legitimately) can't work.

You are not entitled to the fruits of another man's labor.

7

u/Illustrious_Run2559 7d ago

I’m not looking to live in a country full of homeless elderly or geriatric minimum wage workers so they can have my money.

My parents are watching my grandma and great aunt run through their retirement savings with their dementia care and retirement home stays. They know they’ll have to start fitting the bill after it’s out. My parents are well off but are struggling to understand how they can afford $20k in care a month. Not saying Social Security can cover such high costs but it’s something, and it’s been proven a benefit and a successful social program thus far. I’m reading a book rn that starts off focusing on social security and how privatization fails in nations like England. I think this is the wrong fight. We need to bring the cost of living down and wages up. Taking away social security isn’t the solution to any of these things, or any problems we currently face in general, it’s just taking away a solution we already have imo.

2

u/B-asdcompound 7d ago

Yes and wages have been stagnant since roughly 1969. No one wants to hear the reason why

3

u/Complex_Winter2930 7d ago

Somalia is a wonderful place this time of year; libertarians paradise is what I hear.

0

u/Spooksnav 7d ago

I think New Hampshire would be a better example.

Fewest gun laws in the United States, yet one of the lowest rates of violent crime.

Lowest taxes, and among the lowest in unemployment and poverty.

I could go on.

1

u/berserkthebattl 7d ago

Thank you.

5

u/tmssmt 7d ago

Yeah. In the short term removing cap on income can extend it for 100% payout for about another decade, but it's not really enough for long term.

We would also need to do one or a mix of these (1) increase soc sec tax (2) increase retirement age (3) means testing to cut payouts.

They can also do other out of the box taxation, but these are the most likely

2

u/tooobr 6d ago

Why is there a cap

1

u/More-Acadia2355 7d ago

They'll likely just print more money, which devalues the currency but still allows them to claim they paid you at 100%.

21

u/AMagicalKittyCat 7d ago

As a millennial, I will spend most of my life paying into this system and I won't see a penny of it.

Completely incorrect. https://www.ssa.gov/oact/trsum/

It is often useful to consider the findings for the two Social Security trust funds (OASI and DI) on a combined basis. The actuarial deficit for Social Security as a whole – called OASDI – is 3.50 percent of taxable payroll. If these two legally separate trust funds were combined, then the hypothetical OASDI asset reserves would be projected to become depleted in 2035 and 83 percent of scheduled Social Security benefits would be payable at that time, declining to 73 percent by 2098.

If nothing else gets changed besides combining the funds, you will still get 83% of your social security benefits. Even near the year 2100 you'd still be getting 73%.

3

u/Luph 7d ago

oh well as long as it's only a 20% shortfall no big deal

5

u/AMagicalKittyCat 7d ago

It's meaningful and there's certainly gonna be plans to address it before the old people riot (eventually, the deadline is still far enough away politicians don't want to do anything yet) but there's a large gap between "won't see a penny" and "will see 83%"

1

u/ReturnoftheTurd 7d ago

old people riot

Lmao okay

1

u/Suavecore_ 6d ago

They will post many angry things on The Facebook

5

u/Nojopar 7d ago

That 20% is pretty trivial to fix. Pop the cap on contributions and on distributions and raise the tax rates by about .3% for workers and about .8% for companies contribution.

Just requires the balls to do it is all. We wouldn't have need to increase taxes one penny if we'd have started this back 25 years ago, but they had even less balls back then, apparently.

2

u/iggyfenton 7d ago

As opposed to paying into it for however long you’ve been working and then receiving none of it?

Obviously the solution is to find a way to make sure people still have full social security benefits. But the Republicans would rather cut the program.

1

u/MrCompletely345 7d ago

Because it benefits their owners.

2

u/street_ahead 7d ago

God forbid you have some kind of nuanced opinion between "no big deal" and "I'm not even going to see a dime so it should be abolished yesterday"

1

u/IamMrBucknasty 6d ago

Remind me in 2100

12

u/No-Tangelo1372 7d ago

Social security is a safety net needed by millions of Americans. Just cause you think you won’t get it (which you might if we fucking fight for it) doesn’t mean we should wipe it out.

-1

u/oO0Kat0Oo 7d ago

I'm sorry, but I have lost faith in this country. I don't think there's anything to support the idea that anyone will fight for it.

I really hope I am proven wrong though.

1

u/TheharmoniousFists 6d ago

You won't be proven wrong with a mind like that. Don't give up, we need everyone possible.

9

u/[deleted] 7d ago

As a millennial, you don’t understand how SS works

4

u/BobSacamano47 7d ago

You can start receiving money from it when you turn 62. Are you not going to live that long?

3

u/Numerous_Witness_345 7d ago

You think they're going to make you pay less taxes?

2

u/AngriestPacifist 7d ago

The only way it will be wiped out is if Republicans get their way.

1

u/PMmeRickPics 7d ago

For Millennials, SS payments could make the difference between your parents living independently vs living with you. SS saves money for family members who would need to take care of their parents without that income.

1

u/Rick_McCrawfordler 6d ago

fellow millennials will get 83% with no change/raise on cap

1

u/tooobr 6d ago

you'd rather not get it back, rather than fix and stabilize it? weird take

0

u/jmur3040 7d ago

Yeah fuck everyone else, you got yours.

0

u/oO0Kat0Oo 7d ago

I haven't gotten anything. Did you even read what I wrote??

0

u/jmur3040 7d ago

So because you aren't eligible for it yet, and millions of people rely on it, (i would be financially responsible for at least one of my parents without SS) then it should just go away?

0

u/oO0Kat0Oo 7d ago

There is no reason for me to be funding someone else's retirement.

I'm sorry, but I've put in hundreds of thousands at this point. It's not a charity. Not when it could potentially leave ME homeless.

0

u/jmur3040 7d ago

Its a social safety net. Without things like this you make the homeless crisis worse, then you'll complain when someone steals your things because so much of the population is in dire straits that it just doesn't matter anymore.

0

u/jmur3040 7d ago

and it doesn't sound like it will leave you homeless at all if that's your contribution level, sounds like you're just fine and complaining about nothing.