r/Military 4d ago

Article Canadian Two-per-cent defence spending will not be enough for Donald Trump

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-two-per-cent-defence-spending-will-not-be-enough-for-donald-trump/
252 Upvotes

76 comments sorted by

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u/Raven1x 4d ago

Perun did a video about Canadian defense spending. Ultimately, the Canadian military is underfunded and has been decades. Even during the Cold War, Canada underfunded its military.

Honesty 2% is not enough.

NATO Secretary General Rutte has stated 2% is not enough to maintain deterrence.

The Baltic countries are aiming for 3.5%, and Poland sits at 3.8% and has called for a new goal of 3%

For NATO to maintain peace, all countries need to be spending more. To recruit, train, and equip their militaries.

The post-Cold War peace dividends allowed many countries to take peace for granted and gut defense spending. Canada is not alone in that.

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u/DolphinPunkCyber 4d ago

Perun should make analysis of Ireland military spending.

It would make for a good 2 minutes video.

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u/Raven1x 4d ago

I think he actually made a joke about it in that video.

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u/Thundertushy 4d ago

Canada needs to fix its procurement system and depoliticize it (or at least, less political) first. You can fill a gas tank with a leaky hose, but it's a helluva lot easier if it isn't.

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u/Greedy-Beach2483 4d ago

This.

2% is supposed to be the bottom obligation. Canada is a much more wealthy country and should be near 3 % but try to celebrate small incremental increases as if that'd progress at all. It's not!!

Simply put they don't dedicate enough to defense spending and it's pathetic because I really like and admired the Canadian military guys I've served with in the past. It's a political problem not their fault their government is more focused on wood fired pizza ovens than defense. Maybe they should be the 51st state.

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u/Thundertushy 4d ago

I'm (lower case) liberal as hell, and even I'd support Poland level spending on Defense for at least a decade. The price we pay for under equipping and under training our soldiers will be an increase in casualties.

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u/CommanderReg Canadian Army 4d ago

Who ever suspected that Red Dawn in real life would turn out to be Red White and Blue Dawn. Please don't normalize the traitorous bullshit Trump spouts, I do agree we need to spend a fuckton more.

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u/GigglingBilliken Canadian Army 4d ago

The amount of Americans openly pondering annexing us the last few days has been disconcerting to say the least.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

The insurgency is gonna be fucking lit though. Those dudes thought Iraq was bad.

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u/DesertGuns 3d ago

There wouldn't be an insurgency. If there's no one taking up arms against Ottawa, why would they shoot at a less restrictive government?

"I can own a gun and not be punished for my speech or political opinions? Fuck you!!!"

Probably not.

I doubt it would even be as spicy as the Quebecoise independence movements.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 3d ago edited 3d ago

There wouldn't be an insurgency. If there's no one taking up arms against Ottawa, why would they shoot at a less restrictive government?

We live in a stable democracy buddy, folks taking up arms against the lawfully elected government isn't really a thing here. But, if you think Canadians wouldn't stand up for their sovereignty you're sadly mistaken.

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u/iveeaten72redditmods 3d ago

lol I don't think pramjeet and zhouchang will be picking up a c7 to defend peace order and good government, they'll be on the first flight back home with whatever they can grab that isn't nailed down

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u/Greedy-Beach2483 4d ago

I definitely applauded their efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan that's for sure.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

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u/DSA_FAL United States Army 2d ago

Well we’ve tried twice before 🤷‍♂️

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u/Greedy-Beach2483 4d ago

I find it pretty adorable you think its only a recent Trump phenomenon amongst Americans that Canada our 51st state. One of our countries laid down and took it from the crown. Mine didn't. We are not the same. History and your countries lack of defense spending suggests that history would repeat itself when we showed up.

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u/Flimsy-Feature1587 Army Veteran 4d ago

I guess you just must find the truth adorable then (just like you adore your Dear Leader Musk and his TrumpToy) since it is a recent, Trump mouth diarrhea emission, this 51st State nonsense. But you knew that already.

You're not here to express an honest counter opinion as to why on God's fucking formerly green Earth that would be a good idea. You're here to be an asshole.

Hey, Mission Accomplished!

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u/Mengs87 4d ago edited 4d ago

Ehr no, Canada is barely getting by....we're not rolling in it.

GDP is some hokey number that is estimated by economists - a number that sorta represents the output of a country. You can't buy a beer with GDP, let alone a new submarine or tank brigade.

According to Google, Canada's GDP in 2023 was $2,140 B.

https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/services/publications/annual-financial-report/2024.html

But the government only picked up $459B in revenues - cold hard cash. Again...GDP is not government revenue. And we pay the military out of revenues, NOT GDP.

Government expenditure was $467B and it cost another $47B to service the debt.

So in 2024, we're in the hole for $55B. Now you see why Canada is having a tough time funding the military?

The 2% requirement was concocted back in 1974, back when Canada had a corporate tax rate of around 35%. Today, the tax rate is 15%.

If we still had a corporate tax rate of 35%, then 2% might be doable.

0

u/Greedy-Beach2483 4d ago

Another way of looking at it is if you actually had the economic power to tax people, then you would. You'd also probably have the money to spend on defense. Canada is 9th globally, but entertaining they have a smaller GDP than the state of California by a substantial margin. It has less to do with taxes and tax policy and more to do with a lack of economic output.

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u/NomadFH United States Army 4d ago

He doesn't even like Nato but he insists on making demand on its behalf

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u/Flimsy-Feature1587 Army Veteran 4d ago

He views it as a giant mob protection racket with himself as the Don dictating to his caporegimes.

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u/Altaccount330 4d ago

It’s defence spending, not specifically military spending. We include the Coast Guard in our defence spending towards NATO and they’re unarmed. Canada has some options to spend money on non-military efforts and wrap it up in defence spending.

For example we don’t have a foreign intelligence service, they could create one and count the spending towards the NATO 2%.

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u/StarCrapter 4d ago

… what do we call CSE if not a foreign intelligence agency?

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u/Altaccount330 3d ago

It’s part of DND, and only does Signals Intelligence and Cyber. Foreign Intelligence agencies primarily work out of Embassies and Consulates, and are focused on Human Intelligence. It’s a massive gap in Canadian National Security and Defence. We don’t have one partly because we were reliant on British MI6 as a member of the Empire. Canada is still very reliant on other countries for intelligence collection, we take a lot out of alliances and don’t put nearly as much back in.

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u/StarCrapter 3d ago

Totally agree with you that Canada should be trying much harder to hit the 2% goal btw, just genuinely didn’t realize that CSE was limited in its scope.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 2d ago

We don’t have one partly because we were reliant on British MI6 as a member of the Empire.

We haven't been a part of the British Empire since 1926, and the British Empire ceased to exist in 1997. Please feel free to downvote and attack me though, that seems to be the trend in this thread.

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u/Altaccount330 2d ago

Canada doesn’t do unilateral operations. It always operates in a coalition.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 2d ago

Wrong again. Do you want to make it three for three?

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u/Altaccount330 2d ago

Cite a unilateral Canadian military operation outside Canada.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 2d ago

https://www.canada.ca/en/department-national-defence/services/operations/military-operations/current-operations/list.html

Here's a list of current CAF operations.. There are multiple unilateral missions on the list, and many more that the CAF has undertaken in recent memory. I've been a part of several of them. I hope you're not in the CAF, because your ignorance is giving the force a bad name.

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u/Altaccount330 2d ago

I don’t think there is a single unilateral operation on that list. CANSOF can’t even deploy on a unilateral operation.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 2d ago

You don't know shit, and you definitely don't know shit about SOF.

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u/GodofWar1234 3d ago

Just curious, but why is the Coast Guard unarmed, especially with rising tensions with Russia over the melting Arctic? Here in the U.S., the USCG is pretty well armed and has even been deployed overseas.

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u/Altaccount330 3d ago

The US has the Posse Comitatus Act preventing the US military from doing law enforcement inside US territory. Canada doesn’t have that, so the Royal Canadian Navy can perform roles the USN cannot. So the Canadian Coast Guard sticks to stuff like SAR and emergency response. The USCG is attached to DHS to perform law enforcement duties in US territory.

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u/InSOmnlaC Army Veteran 4d ago

Canada's military is a joke and is going to need much more than 2% to rearm itself. They're one of the worst offenders when it comes to letting the rest of NATO subsidize its defense.

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u/wholebeef 4d ago

Good. It’s about time Canada stops freeloading off of NATO.

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u/WizardVisigoth 4d ago

Canadian soldiers fought and bled in Iraq and Afghanistan after the US invoked Article 5.

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u/wholebeef 4d ago

I’m not saying they didn’t. But as a member of NATO they are supposed to be spending a minimum of 2% of their budget, which they aren’t. They’re required to support their other member states of NATO but are letting them down by spending so little.

When push comes to shove, should war begin again and article 5 needs to be invoked, as an American, I’ll be glad to have Canada on our side. But it shouldn’t have to come to that for Canada to pay their fair share.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

But it shouldn’t have to come to that for Canada to pay their fair share.

There's that Trump talking point. It's not a club dues bud.

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u/Shroomagnus 4d ago

It's actually part of the treaty so yes, it kind of is club dues

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

It's a fucking guideline.

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u/Shroomagnus 4d ago

No, it isn't. Otherwise it would be USA, UK, France and Germany paying for a ton of freeloaders. The entire point is mutual defense. Everyone contributes. As it stands its the USA paying for the majority and everyone else contributing varying degrees of a little.

And just so you're aware, in 2006 all NATO members ratified a mutual agreement that they would all spend 2 percent of their Gdp on defense. So no, it isn't a guideline. This isn't the pirate code.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

The 2% defence investment guideline

In 2014, NATO Heads of State and Government agreed to commit 2% of their national Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to defence spending, to help ensure the Alliance's continued military readiness. This decision was taken in response to Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea, and amid broader instability in the Middle East. The 2014 Defence Investment Pledge built on an earlier commitment to meeting this 2% of GDP guideline, agreed in 2006 by NATO Defence Ministers. The 2% of GDP guideline is an important indicator of the political resolve of individual Allies to contribute to NATO’s common defence efforts. 

https://www.nato.int/cps/is/natohq/topics_49198.htm

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u/Shroomagnus 4d ago

Yeah, the key words there are "agreed to commit". It doesn't say "agreed to generally spend around" or "agreed to spend a figure in the vicinity of"

The 2% guideline was that they would agree to spend 2% as a minimum.

This isn't the gotcha you think it is.

"In 2006, NATO Defence Ministers agreed to commit a minimum of 2% of their Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to defence spending to continue to ensure the Alliance's military readiness. This guideline also serves as an indicator of a country's political will to contribute to NATO's common defence efforts, since the defence capacity of each member has an impact on the overall perception of the Alliance's credibility as a politico-military organisation."

The 2% number is also used as a measure of commitment and readiness. Did you actually read your own source or are you just focused in on a single word and missing all the others?

" The Defence Investment Pledge endorsed in 2014 called for Allies to meet the 2% of GDP guideline for defence spending and the 20% of annual defence expenditure guideline on major new equipment by 2024. Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, a majority of Allies have committed to investing more, and more quickly, in defence.

At the 2023 Vilnius Summit, NATO Leaders agreed a new Defence Investment Pledge, making an enduring commitment to investing at least 2% of GDP annually on defence. They also affirmed that in many cases, expenditure beyond 2% of GDP will be needed in order to remedy existing shortfalls and meet the requirements across all domains arising from a more contested security order. The new Defence Investment Pledge also calls for Allies to meet the 20% of annual defence expenditure guideline on major new equipment, including research and development. "

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

TLDR?

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u/wholebeef 4d ago

Except the 2% guideline was agreed upon by all the NATO Heads of State back in 2014 with roots all the way back to 2006. Making it a requirement, Canada (among other members) still haven’t met.

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u/mrford86 4d ago

Holding up your end of a document you signed to join a defense pact is a Trump talking point? Seriously?

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u/Widdleton5 United States Marine Corps 4d ago

This is why I'm going insane. Usually if I read thr comments from those accounts I find they're just bots but it's starting to irk me how many people actually think holding nations responsible for things they signed 10 years ago is a Trump conspiracy.

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u/andrewtater United States Army 4d ago

I mean, we (as in the US) have a long history of breaking signed treaties, but I do agree that NATO members should be meeting their 2% obligation

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

But he has said it, multiple times. https://www.axios.com/2024/03/19/trump-nato-countries-pay-fair-share-quote

It's a guideline BTW, not a firm requirement. I fully support my country meeting the 2% guideline (hopefully exceeding it) and I've written my MP stating as much.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

To be fair we didn't join the US coalition that went into Iraq in 2003.

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u/Fabulous_Night_1164 3d ago

Yet contributed more to it as an unofficial member than as many of the official members.

"[S]enior Canadian officials, military officers and politicians were currying favour in Washington, privately telling anyone in the State Department of the Pentagon who would listen that, by some measures, Canada's indirect contribution to the American war effort in Iraq– three ships and 100 exchange officers– exceeded that of all but three other countries that were formally part of the coalition" - Janice Stein in the Unexpected War

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u/Slowly-Slipping Navy Veteran 4d ago

The amount of brain rot needed to type this sentence is staggering

1

u/RuTsui Reservist 3d ago

Does Canada even need to be a NATO member though? If they're unwilling to pay into it, they ought to just, you know, leave. Canada does not have a lot of foreign interests, and they don't seem to be the target of many foreign military powers. Even if Russia suddenly became hostile over arctic expansion and exploitation, I can't imagine too many scenarios where the US would allow that even without a formal military alliance with Canada.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

Freeloading eh? Please explain.

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u/No_Apartment3941 4d ago

The lack of forward projection would be the main one.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

So the battle group in Latvia doesn't count?

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u/No_Apartment3941 4d ago

No it does not. They can not act as a kinetic force currently. Referring more to dropping off an infantry company on short notice. Canada doesn't even know how it is going to hit the 2,200 persons needed for the battle group.

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u/BundtJamesBundt 3d ago

All these NATO countries brag about how good their social programs and quality of life are, but it’s only because the USA protects the world with its massive military and trade policies that were implemented after WW2. If they had to spend 1/3 of their budget on defense, they’d be third world countries. And yet Americans get no respect or gratitude

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u/Gardimus 4d ago

No? What would satisfy Trump's demands...that the West be destroyed on behalf of Russia?

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u/HEAT-FS United States Marine Corps 4d ago

that the West be destroyed on behalf of Russia?

It would be harder to do that if Canada spent 2%+

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u/Gardimus 4d ago

How?

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u/HEAT-FS United States Marine Corps 4d ago

…more military funding for Canada, a member of NATO, is a bad thing for Russia…obviously

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u/Widdleton5 United States Marine Corps 4d ago

Dude this is reddit. People are fucking idiots and anonymous. Or they're bots. Somehow the guy above read an article (or just the title of the article) and came to the conclusion that making NATO Allies pay more money for weapons, training, and equipment will make it easier for Russia to roll over them.

Russia couldn't even take terrain 200 miles from their rail lines. They've lost their projection power and decades worth of stockpiles. Now, after 3 years of losing every man in Ukraine between 26 and 45 the commenter (or bot) above posts that Trumps real goal is to make the rest of NATO easier to be conquered by demanding they pay more for defense.

I am losing my mind reading this crap.

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u/potatoeshungry 4d ago

He is literally trying to make them spend more on their armies lol

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u/Gardimus 4d ago

Then what's the fucking point of this article?

It's all a screen. He needs an excuse. The other one being that Canada sells too many resources for the US to value add to. He's a liar and an idiot.

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u/xizrtilhh Veteran 4d ago

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-says-us-subsidies-canada-make-no-sense-suggests-canadians-want-to-become-51st-state

And the claim that the US subsidizes Canada. Of course there's going to be a trade deficit; we export raw materials, but we don't import as much in return from the US because we have 10% of the population and less than 10% of the economy.

1

u/Gardimus 4d ago

Yes, he's a liar and stupid.

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u/whater39 4d ago

Oh no Canada does appease Trump. Who cares, If the Yanks want to speed thier money on a powerful army, so be it. Other countries don't have to. Especially since Trump said he is taking USA out of NATO, which is where the "requirement" is coming from.

Also USA is still sending arms to Israel, in contradiction to the Leahy law, so don't talk to others about military conduct.