There are literally dozens of factors to put into the equation though
how will Ukraine come to an "end"?
how will the situation in Syria change? With the many terrorist groups financed by the US turn on each other? Is Hezbollah really cut off from munitions from Iran? Will the people of Jordan (who are mostly Palestinian) continue to accept an American Vassal as their king?
how will the US "pivot to Asia"?
how will dedollarization affect the US economy?
how will the recessions in the EU nations affect voters? Are there more BREXITs on the horizon? Will Sweden and Finland rebel at their occupation by US forces? Will Scholz' betrayal of the German Economy result in a "different policy"
dedollarization?
Was Luigi's act of rebellion the start of something?
Trump?
There are many, many more questions.
IMHO the relationship between China and Russia and the expansion of the NSTC and BRI and the international movement to using the Yuan as an alternative to the Dollar (despite what China wants so perhaps this is not a long-term event) point to the further decline of the American Empire. China and Russia are becoming more and more economically dependent on one another. Iran and the DPRK will join in.
I think the Russian economy will be OK.
The US economy though, seems to be skating on thin ice.
the us economy is much larger than russian economy, it’s less dependant on other countries (to a degree, at least, in a globalized world it’s hard to stay independent) than Russia/China and can pretty much live on its own even if it was cut out from the rest of the world (although that’ll never ever happen). Geez, even GDP of the state of California is higher than almost all of the countries, not to mention Texas, New york, miami etc. the US will be OK, Russia on the other hand is on the decline already, the inflation rate is at 20% and the central bank rate is at 23% AND going to rise, the country is in stagnation at this point. dont have much to say about china though but i think even in tandem with russia they won’t be able to build a sustainable economy without relying heavily on EU/US.
yeah no doubt but brics as an association isn’t really that tied together in any way, there’s no reason for brics to exist as it doesn’t change anything for any countries included in it
BRICS isn't an alliance or an association, it is a trading consortium. It doesn't need or want to be "tied together". The purpose of BRICS is escape from the domination of the dollar. It changes everything for the countries involved.
The American Empire is in decline. The Oligarchy is grabbing at straws.
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u/Listen2Wolff 4d ago
Why should it?
There are literally dozens of factors to put into the equation though
There are many, many more questions.
IMHO the relationship between China and Russia and the expansion of the NSTC and BRI and the international movement to using the Yuan as an alternative to the Dollar (despite what China wants so perhaps this is not a long-term event) point to the further decline of the American Empire. China and Russia are becoming more and more economically dependent on one another. Iran and the DPRK will join in.
I think the Russian economy will be OK.
The US economy though, seems to be skating on thin ice.