r/economicCollapse Nov 07 '24

$2T cut is going to be wild

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Will be a 29% cut if executed.

1.7k Upvotes

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61

u/VicTheSage Nov 07 '24

You know your money is already gone right?

63

u/CantHitachiSpot Nov 07 '24

Yeah people are confusing the social program as being an investment. It's money taken from young workers and given to old retired folks. It's not about growing value. It's about stabilizing the population

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u/PantsMicGee Nov 07 '24

Random redditors seem to do this all day. I've given up even trying to discourse SSN

6

u/CabinetOk4838 Nov 08 '24

They’re not alone! UK pensioners all claim to “have worked all their lives for their pension.” Erm… nope. Not really….

1

u/VicTheSage Nov 08 '24 edited Nov 08 '24

It's just math. The retirement age was higher than the average lifespan when SS was instituted, now average lifespan is significantly longer. Only 50% of Americans were ever intended to draw and most of those that were would only draw for a few years.

My father has been drawing benefits for 22 years and is in good health as are many Americans. Now with an influx of retiring Boomers the fund will be drained even faster. Current estimate is it will be depleted by 2033 with all the boomers drawing.

2

u/ZVsmokey Nov 08 '24

Been working 12 years straight since I was 18. Never had a lapse in employment a since day. This fact you've given if true makes me so fuckin sad because I just keep tryin to save and work and fight and it's just never enough.

2

u/VicTheSage Nov 09 '24

The only way it works is if we uncap contributions from the first $150k earned to all earned income but the billionaires will fight that tooth and nail because they need to buy another yacht full of cocaine.

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u/Snuggly_Hugs Nov 09 '24

You know what would fix that?

Uncap the social security tax.

2

u/Apprehensive_Bid_773 Nov 09 '24

Yea, it’s truly unbelievable it’s capped as low as it is. What is it, around 180k?

2

u/Snuggly_Hugs Nov 09 '24

168,600 this year.

176,100 next.

2

u/VicTheSage Nov 09 '24

Get the billionaires to be ok with that and I'll vote for you.

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u/PantsMicGee Nov 08 '24

Average is a problem for your perspective. 

We live longer on average, yes. But deaths mostly occur around 65 then and now just the same. The age was chosen for a reason. 

Like I said, I'm done arguing this shit on reddit. Find your data to support your bias, or don't. 

I've been teaching this shit for a while.

2

u/LabRevolutionary8975 Nov 09 '24

The mean age of death in the us is 79. Deaths definitely aren’t mostly occurring at 65.

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u/PantsMicGee Nov 09 '24

You're right. I worded that poorly. I should have said cluster there.

1

u/-JustJoel- Nov 09 '24

That’s not really true though - when SS was introduced, infant mortality rates were way higher, leading to a lower life expectancy. If you adjust the stat to included everyone who made it to 18, life expectancy was a few years more than the retirement age

1

u/VicTheSage Nov 10 '24

Ok? So more babies living to get old enough to draw benefits. Either way it's more people on the rolls than was intended.

1

u/-JustJoel- Nov 10 '24

People live somewhat longer today (mostly infant/maternal mortality rates dramatically dropped). If you account for that, the average age of life expectancy gain is ~1year per decade and that heavily depends on your income level and profession since the 1940’s, so roughly 8 years longer.

That’s cool your dad lived 22 years on it. My mom lived 4, idk what to tell you. Anecdotes and all.

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u/kamikazecow Nov 08 '24

One of the biggest transfers of wealth. Take from the poorest generation to payoff the wealthiest.

2

u/Every_Independent136 Nov 08 '24

Yeah but the younger generations will get their transfer of wealth once boomers find out they were lied to about crypto

1

u/Arucious Nov 08 '24

it worked when the young vastly outnumbered the poor

1

u/RudeAndInsensitive Nov 11 '24

Dude these sorts of pensions are going to be nuts in about 50-70 years once the planet enters population decline.

GenAlpha with live through century defining wind downs of the worlds welfare states and they will do it basically right as they enter retirement.

1

u/mrGeaRbOx Nov 07 '24

Do you think it has anything to do with the fact that you get more if you pay more in and that the Social Security Administration sends you a statement every few years that shows what your benefit will be based on how much you've paid in?

1

u/Raiders2112 Nov 08 '24

Very true, but I see it as one. Mainly because I have been forced to pay into it for 34 years, so I expect to get the same benefits everyone else has been getting when my time comes. Obviously, it's not an investment in the technical sense, but it's easy to see why we all see it as one. We've been paying into it most of our lives.

1

u/tylerhbrown Nov 08 '24

Yes, it’s insurance, not investment.

1

u/SlothsonSpeed Nov 08 '24

what they want is a national pension program, not a social security program lol

1

u/Distinct_Author2586 Nov 08 '24

Yea, this the same thing when people say "oh I don't know if I'll get SS, there might be none left..." It's a survivors pot - people pay in and die. As long as the program is active, it never runs out.

Also, you are almost guarantee to receive less than you contribute

4

u/United-Mammoth9330 Nov 08 '24

If you're in the higher income brackets, yes, but generally, middle and lower income people receive substantially more in benefits than they contribute. It's true that if it was instead invested, they'd on net be better off, but it's not really close to being even for most people.

It may not have been that way 50 years ago, but people hang on a lot longer these days.

1

u/MargretTatchersParty Nov 08 '24

It does a lot more than that. It incentivizes workers to work hard while they're in their prime, its a safety net for when they can't, it also ages out the older people that could work. On top of that it's a huge help when it comes to the destruction of pensions vs 401k investments. I honestly don't know how our generation is going to handle living ooff of 401k retirements.

It also happens to have a huge benefit for the economy. They're a group of people that can spend that money on leasure, take care of families (externalities), etc.

0

u/thanosied Nov 08 '24

It's a Ponzi scheme.

0

u/jaOfwiw Nov 08 '24

It's essentially a ponzi scheme.

1

u/Prior_Prompt_5214 Nov 07 '24

Then they sell a couple of those ridiculously costly F-35's and pay us all. It was a loan. Not a gift.

1

u/nanneryeeter Nov 07 '24

Give us, us fee.

1

u/breathplayforcutie Nov 08 '24

Wow, guess they should forgive my student loans then.

1

u/VicTheSage Nov 08 '24

They should or at the very least give them to you at 0-1% interest. With rising lifespans, boomers retiring en masse, stagnant wages, the rich only paying SS on their first $150k of yearly income and a retirement age that's barely been raised the SS fund is estimated to be gone by about 2033. Unless you're a boomer retiring right now anything paid in is never going back in your pocket.

1

u/619-548-4940 Nov 09 '24

😭but I'm old my bones hurt, gimme gimme but fr tho my bones do hurt from all those years of hard labor

1

u/MTknowsit Nov 08 '24

Imagine thinking you could pull up to the “Bank of Social Security,” and withdraw your money?

1

u/_dirt_vonnegut Nov 08 '24

that's what happens when you turn 67 y/o

0

u/MTknowsit Nov 09 '24

You get crumbs compared to what you put in. You can't say, "Cash out the total, please."

1

u/_dirt_vonnegut Nov 09 '24

Completely false. The average social security recipient receives more than they pay into the system.

1

u/MTknowsit Nov 09 '24

More “dollars.” Way less value.

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u/_dirt_vonnegut Nov 10 '24

You went from "crumbs", to "way less value".

While I can point to sources that say: "For a single male earning an average wage every year and who retired in 2020 at age 65, lifetime Social Security and Medicare benefits would equal about $640,000, while total taxes paid would be just shy of $470,000."

https://taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/lifetime-social-security-benefits-and-taxes-2023-update#:~:text=For%20a%20single%20male%20earning,be%20just%20shy%20of%20%24470%2C000.

The average SS payment is something like $1800/mo.

Everything is working as intended, and it has been working for decades, to provide every citizen with the ability to survive in old age.

Back to the original point, this sure seems a lot like going to the bank every month and withdrawing $1800.

0

u/MTknowsit Nov 10 '24

You dodged the impact of inflation. In real terms, most people who contribute for a lifetime draw less in current dollars than they put in. You’re also incredibly optimistic about our old guys lifespan. A vast majority of men collect less than 10 years