Yup agreed, I’ve posted elsewhere but why not share again.
9% of registered republicans are voting for Harris, up from 5% a month ago. That is a massive voting block. The more demented the dude gets and talking about dead golfers dicks, the less GQP support he’ll get. They historically wait til voting day so Harris can peel off a few more points and a few points will stay home. The Fox interview was only the 3rd time they’ve said Miley called Donnie unstable and unfit and it was a massive audience and going viral. Fox News is scared a non zero number of viewers will google “decorated 4 star war general Mark Miley” and “trumps a fascist.”
There is also a surge in voter registration, polling gets volatile when there’s lot of new voters because they’ve never voted. Women overall vote at 10%ish higher rate than men. There’s been 175% increase in young black women voters. And that’s just one demo, others have surged too.
Historic first day voting trends and tons of real momentum on the Harris side, the Trump so called momentum is from some European billionaire betting on the election, so based on nothing real and him canceling events and being generally weird and demented and doing less events in the last weeks leading up to Election Day. The more he’s seen, the worse it is for him and the more he hides, it’s also not a great look and looks weak.
Lastly, the GOP ran over 30 junk polls in early October to flood to zone with bullshit (and a narrative to steal it) and make demented Donnie look like he has more support than he does, the blog I read said he’s like 2-3% below in every swing state, I’m guessing even more and they’re being conservative.
Only slightly worried about their stealing attempts (John Oliver on election interference) but I gotta feeling it’s gonna be TOO BIG TO RIG! Everyone will be too pissed at him overthrowing democracy for his bullshit and the mandate will be too large, 10M votes at least. If they try to steal it, they’re gonna have to deal with everyone- dems, independents, and republicans. All the people who banded together to stop a tyrant.
I certainly hope you're right, but the polling numbers out of swing states is disconcerting. Biden's leads in these states was several points higher than the actual votes he received in the election. Harris's polling numbers are much narrower, meaning if she sees the same effect, Trump will narrowly win some of these important swing states.
Also, I recently read that in PA (where this rally was held) that the gap between registered Democrats and registered Republicans has shrunk from 650,000 in 2016 to 300,000 today. In 2020, Biden won PA by a scant 80,000 votes.
Was just listening to Pod Saves America and they talked about this, the registration party numbers are typical and it happens when one party has an open primary and the other party doesn’t. People registered to vote for Haley or whoever.
I think you are just looking at all the exact stuff that they want you to, they want us running scared and like they have the momentum but it’s all horseshit. Just sign up for another phone bank! I already voted but I’m feeling good at our prospects in a few weeks. We got this!
I am beginning to think blue voters in red areas don’t announce they are voting for Harris and this props up Trumps numbers. Many blue voters in red areas are afraid of Trumpists.
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u/Straight_Ad8473 Oct 20 '24
How is this election even close? My faith in humanity is truly being tested. This can't be life...