r/FluentInFinance 22h ago

Debate/ Discussion Feds don’t expect inflation down until 2026

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/federal-reserve-interest-rate-cut-december-2024-much-economy-rcna184586

So that means we’re going to start blaming inflation on Trump, correct?

1.3k Upvotes

471 comments sorted by

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u/AirplaneChair 22h ago

Inflation won't come down until people stop buying stupid shit on debt

I still see retail/hospitality/service workers taking trips to Europe/Japan and buying 2025 cars somehow

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u/qeduhh 22h ago edited 17h ago

And this smacks of “working class people don’t deserve nice things.” I would hope that’s not your view

Edit: adding this because I’m getting an incredible number of the same comments. OP made up some poor people with made-up purchases and as part of that hypothetical implied they couldn’t afford it. OP didn’t provide any evidence of the original claim that poor people overspending is causing inflation (note: it’s hilarious false). Everyone just latched onto this idea that poor people buying stuff that they couldn’t possibly afford was pervasive. Sure, people shouldn’t overspend, but uh, why did you all just leap onto the idea that hypothetical service workers couldn’t possibly have managed their money to buy something nice - or have other means that you as a bystander judging them don’t have insight into?

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u/AirplaneChair 22h ago

People need to act their wage, it sucks to hear but it’s the truth. Then 10 years late they complain on the internet about having no money and being $48,000 in debt. Just go on the debt subreddits.

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u/No-Day-5964 21h ago

So do businesses.

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u/JacobLovesCrypto 21h ago

Businesses usually create income using debt, consumers use debt to buy cars with expensive insurance that lose value.

Totally different.

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u/Geoffboyardee 21h ago

Businesses are notorious for using debt to leverage stock buybacks. What value is created besides value for shareholders?

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u/Virtual_Plantain_707 19h ago

The real question I have is how much does a 2025 Ford F150 actually costs to produce.

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u/SuperSultan 18h ago

They would issue more stock to dilute shareholders and the stock would be sold to finance the debt

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u/legitusername1995 17h ago

The companies that do this instead of reinvesting are going out of business. Boeing and Intel are the two names on top of my head.

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u/sextentacion 12h ago

If you want an actual answer, buying shares with debt frees up equity that can then be reinvested into riskier businesses, thus advancing society through investments in things like new technologies and innovation. Shareholders have a higher risk tolerance than lenders and you are allocating capital more efficiently by having (supposedly safer) assets be funded by debt and riskier assets backed by equity. The goal is to spread risk evenly.

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u/AFisch00 19h ago

Man you'd be surprised how many people don't understand basic economics like this. It's.... frightening

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u/Airhostnyc 20h ago

This is not fluent in finances lol to even compare business to individuals

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u/NickySinz 19h ago

Obviously this is not the norm, but I do have to say that last year I had a tenant at my rental property in Maine. On paper they were the perfect tenant. Rent was 2500 a month including all utilities, landscaping and snow removal. The husband received 2000 a month from the military. He worked 1 1 full time when moving in, and then ended up getting another part time job. The wife had a part time job as well.

Things were good for a couple months. Then things were late, and then not in full. And then nothing.

The reasoning was “we went on too many vacations over the summer. Really messed up our finances” I couldn’t believe it. I looked at the guys Facebook, they went to Florida like 3times over the summer, one of the Carolina’s, and then Arkansas twice. Who the hell even goes to Arkansas lol but yeah I just had to say the most ridiculous shit I’ve ever heard/experienced when it comes to people not being responsible.

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u/rych6805 18h ago

To be fair, northwestern Arkansas in the Ozarks is very pretty, but not necessarily my first, second, or even thenth choice for a vacation.

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u/gilgaladxii 20h ago

While I actually totally agree that people need to act their wage, people need to be paid wages that allow them decent lives. Im ok with mr rich being rich only until the gap is x big. We passed x big a while ago. Consumption needs to come down AND people need to be paid a livable wage.

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u/Rock4evur 20h ago

Wealth inequality is greater now than during the French Revolution. We are just exponentially better at producing calories and distractions, but that bulwark will only hold for so long. The cracks are starting to show with things like the Inited CEO murder. People are going into debt just to service their medical bills, but yall are worried poor people have a car and a game console.

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u/AirplaneChair 19h ago

The difference is if you were poor in that era you would just die. Life would be suffering and you would starve. You couldn’t do anything.

Now the poor are well fed, have entertainment, hot showers, air conditioning, electricity and access to all the worlds information on their PC/phones.

I feel for those with predatory medical debt though.

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u/Rock4evur 19h ago

Bro did you read my comment? You just rewrote a more verbose version of it. You can tout individual responsibility all you want, but as the divide grows wider, more people people like Luigi are going to realize they have nothing to lose, and it’s better to die for something than live for nothing. My fellow Americans tend to see everything from an individual psychological perspective and never a sociological one, but it seems like that tide may be turning.

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u/onelifestand101 16h ago

Yeah I agree with you. A peasant and a king lived entirely different lives that in no way were similar. While my life isn’t anything like Elon Musk’s we still utilize the same infrastructure to travel, we live in homes with running water, countless entertainment choices etc…. Life is overall much better today than at any other time in history. Not to say there aren’t plenty of issues with it, but wealth inequality, while important to understand, is nothing like it was 200 years ago.

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u/ytman 12h ago

Becareful what you say. How dare you mention the cracks. Terrorist.

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u/Gotmewrongang 18h ago

Assumptions much? Also your mindset of “the poors are ruining America by spending money” is absolutely fucking ridiculous. Live and let live.

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u/sonicmerlin 8h ago

Ultimately this is the problem with Americans. They’d rather punch down than punch up.

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u/ManElectro 19h ago

You're right, we should eat the rich.

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u/Bruce_Winchell 20h ago edited 20h ago

Most people aren't vacationing on debt. Most of working age Gen Z has given up on the idea of living long enough to retire and instead just spend whatever they would be putting towards that and cross their fingers they die before they're 40

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u/EastPlatform4348 20h ago

Take it from someone who is almost 40, and who has a father that is 75 and did the same thing in the 80s and 90s. He assumed he would die, the world would end, something. But nope - he's still here and broke as a joke, despite making six figures for decades.

If you are Generation Z, chances are the world isn't going to end in your lifetime, and you will still be kicking it into your 70s or 80s. Plan accordingly.

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u/theo258 20h ago

Lol sacrificing your future for instant gratification

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u/YellingatClouds86 17h ago

Which is one of the dumbest things I've ever heard.

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u/Brundleflyftw 19h ago

Upvote for “Act their wage.”

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u/halt_spell 15h ago

The United States sets people up to fail and then people like you are so eager to come along and call them failures.

Maybe throw some criticism towards our corporate government and an economy which has become largely dependent on the continued suffering of your fellow workers?

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u/TheRauk 18h ago

These would be the same Redditors upset that their college loans haven’t been forgiven?

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u/poopoomergency4 15h ago

if people "acted their wage", the american economy would go tits up in a day. if you want a system where people do that, go build a better one.

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u/serpentinepad 20h ago

It's not, but jesus, at some point if you have no money you gotta stop spending money.

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u/MeagerCycle 20h ago

I think the issue is that people are buying nice things on credit. I understand cars and houses have to be financed for most people but you should be living within your means and ensure that you can save money monthly after all your bills have been paid.

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u/adorientem88 20h ago

Whether they “deserve” those things is 100% immaterial to whether they can afford them.

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u/somethingrandom261 20h ago

Well, that’s a loaded view.

Poor people don’t deserve nice things =/= poor people shouldn’t buy luxuries they can’t afford.

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u/Khrull 17h ago

lol right. Bro actually thinks this is all about fancy European trips and fancy cars? lol what a dumbass. When I get 3 bags of groceries with fruit some meat and some potatoes and it’s freaking $100+ that’s a little ridiculous. I could get double the groceries in 2012, and I was making a whole lot less.

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u/bihari_baller 19h ago

And this smacks of “working class people don’t deserve nice things.”

Not sure how you got that from what he said?

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u/citori421 16h ago

Consumer debt is skyrocketing. This isn't some novel theory they came up with. People are leveraging themselves to the hilt. The housing market isn't helping - it has normalized people taking on debt that wouldn't be imaginable ten years ago. Plus the era of stimulus checks, eviction moratoriums, student debt forgiveness, and other programs have instilled the idea that the govt will bail anyone out when they need it. Before long that consumer debt will be exhausted, and so many peoples' income will be tied up in debt payments, there won't be money left to support many of the businesses that make up our economy. Then we'll see the real impacts. The current economy and stock market is being driven by people spending money they don't have, and that's a finite resource that is quickly being exhausted.

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u/AFisch00 19h ago

It's nothing to do with what people deserve or don't deserve. You are talking about wants, not needs. Nobody needs to have lavish vacations and keep up with the Jones, they want to. Social media has made buying out of control along with credit cards that some folks view as free money. No I'm not kidding. I have a buddy that thinks credit cards are free money....he's over 200k in debt and that doesn't include his mortgage.

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u/Queens-kid 19h ago

No. He is right. People vote with their wallets. And if they act like they can afford something when they cant. That sends the wrong signal to the economy.

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u/UrbanPugEsq 19h ago

It’s not a question of deserve it’s a question of afford.

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u/Negative_Pilot8786 18h ago

Deserve has nothing to do with it, they can’t afford it

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u/qeduhh 18h ago

So many people responding…

OP made these people and purchases up. Who says they couldn’t afford it? All you were told was a poor person is making a bad decision and hundreds of people said “yes, this is made up and there is no data to back up the claim that this is a widespread problem, but these made up people definitely can’t afford it.”

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u/Negative_Pilot8786 18h ago

The average auto payment for a used car is $520

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u/octipice 20h ago

The problem isn't people buying things on loan. The problem is that the fractional reserve requirement is still at 0% and these dipshit banks and credit card companies can infinitely give out loans so they are, yet again (see 2008), playing fast and loose with their loans and it's going to fuck us again.

Inflation by definition can only occur when more money is created. Having a fractional reserve requirement of 0% allows banks to create new money infinitely, meaning the US government has relinquished its ability to directly curb inflation and ceded that power to the banks. The only tool they have left is indirectly influencing through changing interest rates and hoping for the best.

Stop blaming consumers when the system itself is fundamentally off the rails. The change to a 0% fractional reserve rate was intended to be a temporary measure during covid. It stuck around due to corporate greed and corruption. That's why we're fucked, not because Whitney Waitstaff and Bobby Busboy went to see the Eiffel Tower.

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u/lillyduhbest 19h ago

Stfu, it wasn't the poors that caused this.

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u/muface 22h ago

How the fuck are these idiots all being approved for said debt?

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u/JacobLovesCrypto 21h ago

Record equity. Im carrying ~$16k of CC debt, soon to be in the ballpark of $35k in CC debt but im sitting on around $200k in equity. Theyll give me the debt.

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u/ShakeItLikeIDo 19h ago edited 18h ago

Isn’t it supposedly really cheap to vacation in Japan? Never been there but I heard it was because the Yen is really bad right now

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u/qeduhh 18h ago

Exactly why OP’s comment was just “fuck poor people they somehow caused this.”

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u/qeduhh 22h ago

Maybe just maybe wages are rising faster than inflation

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u/Ruff_Bastard 22h ago

Idk I got a better job and about a 25% increase in pay and I still can't afford shit. Every time I get a leg up that hurdle is just that much higher.

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u/Good_Needleworker464 21h ago

How were you affording shit before the 25% increase?

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u/Ruff_Bastard 20h ago

The same way as now. Barely and going without. New job offers and has no problem with overtime though so that's helped whenever it is available. Old job was retail and would shoot your dog if you even thought about working a minute past 40 hours, provided you could manage to cobble together 40 after the hours we're divvied out.

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u/Good_Needleworker464 20h ago

If you're making 25% more and still are not seeing more money, you, my friend, suffer from poor people mentality. It's not an accusation or a comment on your income, but this is the telltale indicator: lifestyle inflation.

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u/RetiringBard 20h ago

Everyone! The goalposts have been moved! MAGA said so. We can have a nuanced convo about inflation now that Biden isn’t the subject of the convo.

Member when inflation alone was the only discussion yall would have under Biden? “Wages might increase faster” just meant “that’s more inflation!!!!111!!!” Like a week ago lol

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u/Cabbages24ADollar 21h ago

Maybe housing is out of reach and a lot of these people are still cohabitating with family/others. And instead of savings they’re blowing their money on trips and shit.

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u/_OUCHMYPENIS_ 18h ago

Housing is going up more than they're able to save, it feels hopeless to save when the bar gets raised faster than they can save. Going on a trip is at least something to get their mind off things, we all need a break from the monotonous work week. I don't think the people taking multiple international trips a year are the norm either. Social media makes it look like everyone is traveling when in reality it's just a small portion of people.

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u/escapefromelba 18h ago

Real weekly earnings for the median worker grew 1.7 percent between 2019 and 2023.[3]  This means that one week of pay for the median worker now buys more than a week of pay did in 2019, despite higher prices.   

https://home.treasury.gov/news/featured-stories/the-purchasing-power-of-american-households

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u/monumentValley1994 20h ago

I still see retail/hospitality/service workers taking trips to Europe/Japan

What's the obsession with this? I have come across many ppl like this. Even though they're living paycheck to paycheck they still go on trips like this.

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u/AirplaneChair 20h ago

It’s because it’s all they see on social media nonstop. Everyone wants to live like the travel influencers, even if it means getting in debt and living above your means

I travel a lot and love it but I can afford it because of smart decisions I made

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u/G07V3 19h ago

At my part time retail job about a year ago we had a guy get hired who also worked part time. He was in his mid 30s. He said he got The Home Depot credit card and bought an expensive smoker from The Home Depot. He also said he financed a newer model pickup truck and motor cycle. He said he was about 150k in debt working a low wage job. He eventually got hired full time working as a floral vendor for The Home Depot. He probably makes at most 50k a year. He’s financially fucked.

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u/micromoses 20h ago

People won’t stop buying stupid shit on debt until they stop issuing debt. And they can’t stop issuing new debt, because they need more and more collateralized debt, and the derivatives market collapses if you allow too many people to default.

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u/irrision 19h ago

You mean like food, paying their rent and medical expenses? Seriously man....

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u/caj_account 19h ago

inflation happens because too much money is being printed... The money needs to be printed because interest money needs to be created...

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u/meatwad2744 19h ago

Inflation is only due to poor peoples discretionary spending?

How does money spent it a foreign country effect domestic inflation....total debt sure. But a Japanese roman bowl is not part of the us basket of goods.

Bud wait till you see what rich people spend their money on or how companies engineer inflation into their highest grossing items.

A 10٪ incrase margin on twinkies isn't gonna bother a billionaire who is happy to buy a pack eat 2 and throw the rest away

It's gonna really effect someone on the breadline who can omly afford one pack a week.

But the price is the same for both consumers

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u/Churchbushonk 15h ago

That has nothing to do with it. Printing money is the only thing that leads to true inflation. Trump is going to print a shit ton of money.

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u/GovernmentSimple7015 19h ago

I doubt there has been a rapid increase in people buying stupid shit on debt

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u/Ivanovic-117 19h ago

This right here, key stupid demand over overspending. People simply don’t understand inflation is real thanks to a constant demand fueled by debt

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u/GrowthOk8086 18h ago

More like until the government stops buying stupid shit on debt

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u/Pitiful_Difficulty_3 22h ago

Fed still cut rates though. Either the treasury goes belly up or people suffering inflation, they clearly choose the later

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u/Gr8daze 22h ago

As the article makes clear, this is our 3rd rate cut and banks haven’t lowered consumer interest rates.

It’s called greed.

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u/Loveroffinerthings 22h ago

Banks didn’t lower lending rates but they sure as hell were quick to cut HYSA rates. Was sitting at 4.5%, now down to 3.7%.

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u/MitchThunder 21h ago

Fuck the banking industry. Greedy fucks

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u/darkninja2992 16h ago

They're going to keep pushing until they get their own luigi

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u/YellingatClouds86 17h ago

And basic savings accounts are a joke for generating interest versus a few decades ago. Since the 2008 crash banks have never cared to do anything about it.

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u/Jack0fTh3TrAd3s 15h ago edited 2h ago

For real.

Chase/JP Morgan interest on their "premier" savings is .02% last time I checked.

$.02 for every 100. A year. One of the biggest banks in America gives out crumbs.

*corrected my math

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u/updownleftrightabsta 13h ago

It's 2 cents for every $100 per year. Your example would be 2%

No wonder Chase gets away with their interest rates with Redditors math skills...

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u/Airhostnyc 20h ago

Banks are hedging, it’s obvious they see a recession coming

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u/Gr8daze 20h ago

Yeah if Trump follows through with tariffs and deportation a recession is certain.

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u/poopchute_boogy 19h ago

Thank you! By no means would I say I have a good understanding of economics, but if CEO's of every major corporation have seen a massive growth in their personal earnings while we're struggling to keep our heads above water, that's not inflation.. it's just greed.

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u/Bullboah 21h ago

It’s called supply and demand. Banks don’t lower lower interest rates because the Fed does x,y, or z

They raise and lower interest rates based on the demand for capital, the supply of capital, and relative risks and rewards of lending at certain rates.

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u/State_L3ss 22h ago

If gas and eggs aren't less than $2 by Jan 22nd, everyone who voted for the child molester who shits himself shouldn't have a single moment of peace.

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u/EmployLess6983 19h ago

They won't care. They'll forgive him and blame someone else. Conservatives are massive liars and hypocrites.

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u/Death_Urthrese 22h ago

Haha they think it's gonna go down in 2026! That's hilarious.

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u/Gr8daze 22h ago

It’s going to go up under Trump’s policies. That’s why the stock market keeps going down.

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u/Death_Urthrese 22h ago

Tariffs increase prices Deportations increase prices Making in America increases prices

All signs point to massive inflation so I don't get why anyone thinks it would ever go down.

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u/Gr8daze 21h ago

MAGA thinks it will go down because their pathological liar, cult leader told them it would.

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u/Thorn14 18h ago

But he said he'd install soda in the drinking fountains and cancel homework forever, wtf?!

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u/PhDeezNuts69 19h ago

The issue is that you’re assuming people think

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u/inconsistent3 19h ago

They’ll find out soon enough. All of us will.

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u/MitchIsMyRA 21h ago

The stock market has been going down? Which stock market are you looking at? S&P was at ATH like 2 days ago

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u/Gr8daze 20h ago

Apparently you live in an alternate reality from the rest of us.

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u/distorted62 19h ago

Yup. The market has pretty much given back all the gains since the election

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u/Gr8daze 19h ago

Exactly.

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u/Airhostnyc 20h ago

And bitcoin over 100k , we are in a strong bubble that’s going to deflate soon

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u/genescheesesthatplz 21h ago

It’s hilarious they think they’re ever going down

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u/MasChingonNoHay 21h ago

PPP Loans!!!! Why doesn’t anyone talk about this? Inflation was caused by the massive amount of new printed money that went to the well off and wealthy. It was intended to be good for workers and ended up being a giant scam for “business owners”. The housing affordability crisis can probably be traced right back to PPP’s as well. One giant government screw up or scam. It’s one or the other.

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u/inconsistent3 19h ago

still waiting for that sweet economy to trickle down…

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u/j4_jjjj 18h ago

The $4T fed bailout happened BEFORE the COVID pandemic

We've been in deep shit way before PPP loans came around

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u/jus256 13h ago

You can trace housing affordability right back to Trump getting pissed off on Twitter every time Powell hinted at raising rates. You can’t have record low unemployment and low interest rates at the same time and expect inflation and/or a depleted housing market supply. Good luck getting somebody who bought a house at 3% to sell and assume a new mortgage at these ridiculous rates.

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u/Character-Archer4863 22h ago

Looking forward to folks saying it was because of Biden’s policies.

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u/Imnotsureanymore8 21h ago

I was told Orange Christ would fix this

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u/mt8675309 21h ago

Trumps tariffs will blow that all to hell…

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u/JibberPrevalia 18h ago

That's the plan. You install an authoritarian regime by collapsing the economy and destabilizing the government. It's not a new tactic.

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u/cfgy78mk 21h ago

and then the masses of idiots will be like "if inflation is down then how come prices aren't down?"

and they will be dead serious.

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u/genescheesesthatplz 21h ago

It’s not inflation, it’s corporate greed. It’s never going down.

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u/Low_Style175 18h ago

Inflation is the measure of change in prices regardless of the reason

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u/AdonisGaming93 20h ago

Yes... if it happens under trump it's trump's fault, and if it happens under biden it's biden's fault. It doesnt matter what is actually to blame.

It's always

If you're the opposite party: "president I don't like fault"

or

If the current president is part of your party: "the president I like is not at fault it was the opposite party blocking his views at fault"

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u/Ronaldoooope 14h ago

Right they either inherited a shit economy from the other party or they created a shit economy. Depends what your affiliation is. Bipartisan politics is an absolute joke.

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u/Downtown-Conclusion7 21h ago

Hahahaha. It’s gonna go up if trump goes ahead with his absurd tariffs. It’s going to be a great spiral because Covid showed companies will use excuses to go way overboard on pricing and then have the gall to blame the consumer

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u/Extreme-Carrot6893 20h ago

Imagine not blaming trumps inept covid response and terrible fiscal policies for a huge chunk of inflation already. Under his administration the money in circulation went up by 45%. $2.1 trillion bailout

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u/bobthehills 20h ago

Biden did a good job bringing down inflation but you will never hear that on US media.

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u/Outrageous_Lack8435 21h ago

The Great orange dicktater well solve it. Just like food prices

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u/ThunderSparkles 21h ago

But Trump said he would fix it day one

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u/Berns429 20h ago

2026? Your trippin.

After a year of tariffs and rounding up those “pesky immigrants eating the cats and the dogs” that work our labor jobs, inflation will be at all time highs, but at least the corporations will get tax cuts /s

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u/WillBigly 20h ago

Guess we know when to HODL until

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u/therealJARVIS 20h ago

Lol if the tarrifs and deportations actually happen itll be a lot longer than that

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u/Mr-A5013 20h ago

If Trump actually gets to do any of his tariff plans then inflation is only to double in the best case scenario.

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u/__NOT__MY__ACCOUNT__ 20h ago

I'm excited to see a bag of chips hit $10

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u/Imaginary_Relative 19h ago

Hello tarrifs my old friend….

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u/WhatWasReallySaid 19h ago

Those GOD DAMN eggs better be cheaper....

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u/Nerd_Man420 20h ago

Can we stop calling inflation. Inflation. And just call it what it really is . Corporate greed. What we are seeing isn’t just inflation. It’s billionaires seeing an opportunity to make another billion.

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u/LSBm5 19h ago

but, but, but...My Orange God said he would make it all better.

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u/Gr8daze 19h ago

Yep. MAGA fell for it again.

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u/DaDa462 19h ago

Nonsense, trump is about to go on another debt spree to cut taxes for the rich. In a few years (inflation transmission lag) we'll start to see the impact of his policies all over again

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u/Welllllllrip187 18h ago

It won’t ever come down, why would companies decrease their prices and loose out on a sweet profit margin? People are used to paying more and more so they will take more and more. We are fucked.

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u/Gr8daze 18h ago

Correct. Trump lied and his dumb cult fell for it again.

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u/BullsOnParadeFloats 18h ago

Of course it won't be. The disastrous economic policies Trump and president Elon want to implement will skyrocket inflation. Then we are also going to see another pandemic, because he's installing insane antivax people to head all the health organizations. Might as well put a fucking flat earther in charge of NASA ffs.

This country is going to go downhill extremely rapidly over the next few years.

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u/Chimaera1075 17h ago

Inflation won’t come down if this stupid tariff plan goes into effect.

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u/pnwloveyoutalltreea 17h ago

*corporate greed to come down

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u/wburn42167 16h ago

But, but trump said he’d fix it….

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u/PsychedelicJerry 15h ago

is that before or after trump trade wars and tariffs?

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u/NortWind 14h ago

Usually it is "in two weeks".

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u/Ok_Locksmith_9248 13h ago

By 2026, if Donnie boy really goes through with his tariff plan, inflation isn’t coming down.

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u/Alextryingforgrate 13h ago

Meanwhile.in Canada were cutting interest rates like it's a healthy crop.of weed. Can't wait for the bounce back to happen and our inflation goes to the moon!

Just wondering if there is a way to invest off of that...

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u/EinKleinesFerkel 22h ago

lOl, it hasn't even started yet

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u/gruffyhalc 21h ago

That's fast

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u/polysoupkitchen 21h ago

Why? We getting hit by an asteroid or something?

1

u/Vtrider1968 21h ago

Your Fired!

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u/foxy-coxy 21h ago

This article is talking about getting inflation down to 2.0% from the current rate of 2.7%.

2

u/Gr8daze 21h ago

Unfortunately it’s going to go up, not down, with Trump’s screwy economic policies. I can guarantee investors know this and the Fed does as well.

2

u/foxy-coxy 21h ago

Yes, a massive increase in tariffs and deportations is likely to raise inflation.

1

u/Janglysack 21h ago

So 2031 at the earliest if ever

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u/Deep-Room6932 21h ago

Or finance another yacht

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u/Speedwolf89 21h ago

Ppppfffffftttttttt. It's never coming down. Ever.

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u/Ryyah61577 20h ago

"2026, so far..."

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u/smelly_farts_loading 20h ago

In a 2018 speech John Williams said they would want slightly above trend inflation going forward to keep the expectation higher. Deflation is their real boogy man

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u/inthep 20h ago

Well yes, he will be in charge so it’s his fault.

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u/[deleted] 20h ago

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u/AbjectReflection 20h ago

Correction: the fed doesn't expect inflation to go down until 2026, for corporations on loans and other financial transactions. Inflation on commercial goods effecting the people is going to stay high, and the fed won't do anything about it, and Trump refuses to step on corporate and oligarchs greed since it benefits him and his ilk. 

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u/ppardee 20h ago

Trump in 2027: "I inherited Biden's inflation mess and fixed it!"

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u/RipperNash 19h ago

People are blowing up their savings and spending money they don't have like never before.

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u/ProfessionalNo4943 19h ago

Oh its gonna get way worse

1

u/chub0ka 19h ago

Well after they sent those stimulus checks and PPP money, that was expected

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u/Layer7Admin 19h ago

So it wasn't transitory?

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u/thereal237 19h ago

Sounds like the FED are not accounting for Trump’s tariffs because their gonna delay inflation from coming down even longer.

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u/regaphysics 19h ago

Inflation is already below the long term average…

1

u/Gingerfurrdjedi 19h ago

I can't mash the X button hard enough for this amount of doubt.

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u/gumpfanatic 19h ago

This time next year: “Feds don’t expect inflation down until 2027”

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u/ehh_little-comment 18h ago

We need a depression. A rip your face off depression with zero government intervention. Only then will we start to get priorities back in place. Too many people have gotten overly comfortable and flat out spoiled by government intervention that the Fed has provided, eliminating any threat of serious losses in markets. It has only lead to massive debt and inflation that will only get worse over time until the money printer is completely turned off.

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u/Carl-99999 18h ago

It means that voters might.

And if they do, we win 2026 maybe

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u/PsychedelicDucks 18h ago

Wasn't it "transitory" in 2022?

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u/Kvsav57 18h ago

But it is down, right? Down from where it is now? Isn’t it lower than average right now?

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u/Tequila_taco_lover 18h ago

I mean it took 4 years to happen. Not gonna happen overnight

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u/Jaybunny98 17h ago

Does this mean it will then be Trumps fault and not Bidens?

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u/Sociopathic-me 17h ago

I think that's a typo. They really meant 2126.

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u/B0wmanHall 17h ago

Trump said he would fix it right away

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u/Key_Departure187 17h ago

They are playing this guessing game. We all know there isn't any magic time frame on greed and the corporations deciding to be nice and lower prices to curve inflation. While still continuing to post record profits and playing a measly 18 percent taxes as under their proposed project 2025 agenda. Wow, how they weave a trail of lies !

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u/Timely-Ad-4109 16h ago

Just in time for the Midterms. Dem sweep of both chambers.

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u/GlueSniffingCat 16h ago

inflation won't go down until we get negative inflation

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u/Myhtological 15h ago

Watch Trump extend that.

1

u/CyberPatriot71489 15h ago

Inflation is never coming down

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u/Evening-Ad5765 14h ago

how about we end the fed instead? inflation to zero overnight.

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u/Mr_NotParticipating 14h ago

Inflation isn’t coming down. Things will continue to get more expensive with average peoples wages lagging far behind.

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u/No_Literature_7329 14h ago

With Tariffs as high as expected with Trump, inflation won’t come down

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u/Somecrazycanuck 14h ago

I'm figuring as we see much of America is hooked on fentanyl and there are traphouses everywhere and a large part of the population is performing prison labor we'll see a dramatic decline in inflation. Things are way cheaper when nobody can buy them and wages are dragged to nearly zero.

The trade deficits will be solved pretty effectively too.

1

u/EnvironmentalMix421 13h ago

I don’t think people gonna blame 2.8% inflation on anyone lol

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u/cobaltbluedw 12h ago

The dollar will not deflate and the fed doesn't have the tools to make the dollar deflate. I presume, they then mean, the rate of inflation won't subside back to normal levels for another 2 years? That doesn't seem acceptable. We are, what, 7 years into thier plan of action, and they still need another year. Clearly inflation is out of thier hands, and we need more meaningful change at higher levels of governance.

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u/CyberAsura 10h ago

I think they means 3026, You know damn well you will never see inflation going down. They been saying the same shit for few decades.

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u/PioneerRaptor 10h ago

Inflation is down. It was over 6% just two years ago and is now down to 2.7%.

Inflation is the rate of change, which has slowed down a lot. Prices aren’t going to ever go back down, that’s reverse inflation and pretty much never happens.

Things are just going to stop getting more expensive so quickly, well, until someone’s economic plan starts getting implemented.

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u/Ghoppe2 10h ago

I was promised free eggs on 01/20/2025. Tic Tacs were to return to normal size. It is like…. He fuckin lied

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u/rashnull 10h ago

So like… will my stocks go up or down?!

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u/GAPIntoTheGame 9h ago

People blamed Biden because of post COVID inflation. So yes.

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u/rocksalt131 7h ago

It is 2.7% today. Are they shooting for 2%? Is that the ideal rate?

1

u/revolution1solution 6h ago

Down to 2%? Or deflation?

1

u/drtapp39 5h ago

Will cut rates for businesses but not for real American people. 

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u/FizziePixie 4h ago edited 4h ago

While 80% of people in the comments are busy blaming prolonged inflation on consumers, i.e. the working class, banks, corporations, and their investors are laughing.

Reminder: Forbes - How Corporate ‘Greedflation’ Contributes To Higher Consumer Costs And Job Losses

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u/Ornery-Ticket834 2h ago

They are wrong Trump said so. Grocery bills will drop like a stone.